Seasonal Consumption Cycle of Sheepmeat in The Tiaret Region, Algeria

Abstract

Our study focused on measuring the minor (infra-annual) cycle of consumption of sheepmeat to prevent household, or even producers’ constraints. In this respect, a survey was conducted in the municipalities of Tiaret and Hamadia with 340 households in 2020. The data were introduced into the Keynesian psychological function of consumption along a microeconomic approach of the consumer in relation to the inner functioning of the market. The calculations have led to average expenditures allocated to sheepmeat of 13,195 DZD/inhabitant/year for Hamadia, and 13,579 DZD/inhabitants/year for Tiaret. The average quantities consumed were 13.37 kg/inhabitants/year (Hamadia) and 13.43 kg/inhabitants/year (Tiaret). More interesting, two types of infra-seasonal minor consumption cycles have alike been measured, each variable in the length of the phases and the amplitude of the fluctuations for a specified income, and for a particular expenditure. The infra-seasonal preferences explained the festive minor consumption cycle, and non-festive minor consumption cycle. The establishment of the model of infra-seasonal sensitivity facts allows to admit a principle of causality between climate, consumptions, and previous productions in the market, but to predict also the same future economic phenomena based on weather forecasts.